Do trails affect relative abundance estimates of rainforest frogs and lizards?

The selection of a sampling protocol is critical to study amphibian and reptile communities and in many instances researchers have combined the use of visual encounter surveys (VES) conducted on trails and off trails. The effect of human‐made trails on relative abundance estimates of amphibians and reptiles has been assessed in a few temperate locations, but data are lacking for tropical sites. Our study was designed to address this issue by comparing abundance estimates of frogs and lizards on and off trails in a lowland rainforest in south‐eastern Perú. We used nocturnal VES to sample frogs and lizards along transects established on trails and off trails in two different forest types. We found that the observed relative abundance estimates of frogs and lizards were affected by the location of transects (on trail vs. off trail) and the type of forest (floodplain forest vs. terra firme forest). We also found an interaction between the two main effects, indicating that the effect of transect location with respect to trails varies as a function of habitat. Observed frog abundances were higher on trails than off trails, indicating that studies that include VES on trails will bias relative abundance estimates in contrast to studies that include only VES off trails. We suggest that transects should be established only off trails, especially for monitoring studies because trail use by humans can have a strong influence on observed animal abundance.     

Different phylogeographic patterns in two Japanese Silpha species (Coleoptera: Silphidae) affected by climatic gradients and topography

To reveal differences in phylogeographic patterns of flightless insect species occurring in different regions of Japan, we studied the phylogeography and demographic history of Silpha beetles occurring in cool-temperate habitats of two major islands, Honshu and Hokkaido, using sequences of the mitochondrial cytochrome oxidase subunit I (COI) gene. Honshu has a more mountainous topography, and cool-temperate habitats occur discontinuously, whereas Hokkaido, located to the north of Honshu, has more continuous cool-temperate habitats. A species endemic to Honshu, S. longicornis occurs on Honshu, whereas S. perforata occurs on Hokkaido and the East Asian continent. Our results indicate that the ancestors of S. longicornis colonized Honshu via a south-west route c . 0.7 Mya and the species has highly divergent populations in isolated mountainous areas of Honshu, whereas S. perforata colonized Hokkaido via a northern route less than 90 000 years ago and has less divergent geographic populations. During the last glacial period, S. perforata was probably restricted to refugia in southern Hokkaido and later expanded into northern Hokkaido, whereas S. longicornis populations existed in many isolated refugia, probably because of the complex topography of Honshu. Thus, our study demonstrates that, even between closely related species, interactions among biology, latitudinal climatic gradients and topography can produce different phylogeographic patterns.  © 2009 The Linnean Society of London, Biological Journal of the Linnean Society , 2009, 98 , 452–467.     

Improving neural network prediction of effluent from biological wastewater treatment plant of industrial park using fuzzy learning approach

Three types of adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) in which the online monitoring parameters served as the input variable were employed to predict suspended solids (SS_eff), chemical oxygen demand (COD_eff), and pH_eff in the effluent from a biological wastewater treatment plant in industrial park. Artificial neural network (ANN) was also used for comparison. The results indicated that ANFIS statistically outperforms ANN in terms of effluent prediction. When predicting, the minimum mean absolute percentage errors of 2.90, 2.54 and 0.36% for SS_eff, COD_eff and pH_eff could be achieved using ANFIS. The maximum values of correlation coefficient for SS_eff, COD_eff, and pH_eff were 0.97, 0.95, and 0.98, respectively. The minimum mean square errors of 0.21, 1.41 and 0.00, and the minimum root mean square errors of 0.46, 1.19 and 0.04 for SS_eff, COD_eff, and pH_eff could also be achieved.     

山西文峪河上游河岸林群落稳定性评价

稳定性是植物群落结构与功能的综合特征。该文运用模糊综合评判理论评价了山西文峪河上游13种河岸林群落的稳定性。基于群落整体稳定性和结构稳定性的考虑, 选取乔木层优势树种更新潜力、物种多样性、Godron指数、立地质量和保护程度等5项特征指标, 通过计算各群落5项指标隶属度的平均值来评价群落稳定性。研究结果表明, 多数群落的稳定性隶属度介于0.40-0.60, 属于低山森林演替系列的青杨辽东栎(Populus cathayana + Quercus wutaishanica)混交林和油松白桦(Pinus tabulaeformis + Betula platyphylla)混交林的稳定性居中; 中高山森林演替系列中, 群落稳定性随着演替的进展而增加, 青杨(Populus cathayana)林结构简单, 稳定性最低, 青杄(Picea wilsonii)林接近演替顶极, 稳定性最高; 但并非只有近演替顶极的群落是稳定的, 客观存在的各种林冠干扰和河岸生境的高度异质性也使得白杄杨桦(Picea meyeri + Populus cathayana + Betula platyphylla)混交林、落叶松白杄(Larix principis-rupprechtii + Picea meyeri)混交林和落叶松青杄(Larix principis- rupprechtii + Picea wilsonii)混交林有较高的稳定性。     

A robust fuzzy stochastic programming model for the design of a reliable green closed-loop supply chain network

Recently, governmental legislations, limitation of natural resources and adverse effects of End-of-Life products on ecological system have spurred researchers to design closed-loop supply chains (CLSCs). Accordingly, designing green supply chains (SCs) that manage greenhouse gas emissions and prevent air pollution can be helpful for companies to heighten profitability and customer loyalty, besides, uncertainty of parameters and disruption strikes could adversely affect performance of SCs and lower quality of output decisions. Effective planning prevents great losses and increases reliability of manager's decisions against uncertainties. Therefore, this paper is proceeding to design a reliable bi-objective green CLSC that minimizes total costs of network aside with minimizing harmful gas emissions. The proposed model is capable of controlling adverse effects of disruptions via applying scenario-based stochastic programming approach. Also, an effective hybrid robust fuzzy stochastic programming method is extended to effectively control uncertainty of parameters and risk-aversion level of output decisions. Extended model analyzing is based on lead-acid battery SC case study that output results approve applicability and effectiveness of model.     

基于三角模糊数的自然保护区生态旅游评价

从生态环境特征、资源影响力、社会经济影响3个方面,选择地形、气候、生态脆弱性、典型性、环境影响、经济效益等16个指标,构建评价模型,运用三角模糊数方法,进行沙坡头国家级自然保护区的生态旅游评价。结果显示:沙坡头国家级自然保护区的生态旅游资源丰富,整体发展良好,发展生态旅游将会对保护区的文化、经济、配套基础设施等方面产生积极影响。将三角模糊数应用于自然保护区生态旅游评价模型,克服了定性指标难以量化、可比较性差的缺点,可以为生态旅游评价提供新思路、新方法,具有一定的应用前景,对生态旅游评价具有新的借鉴意义。     

Fifteen years of annual Cape Parrot Poicephalus robustus censuses: current population trends and conservation contributions

The Cape Parrot Poicephalus robustus is endemic to South Africa and numbers have reportedly declined since the early 1900s. It is a forest specialist and food nomadic, moving between patches depending on fruit availability. This makes it difficult to estimate numbers accurately and to determine its distribution. The annual Cape Parrot Big Birding Day was initiated in 1998 as a national census to determine a population estimate. Volunteers assist in monitoring and counting the Cape Parrot in the Eastern Cape, KwaZulu-Natal and Limpopo provinces in indigenous forests as well as sites where the parrots are known to feed outside of forests. Here, a summary of 15 years of census data is presented. In all years, with the exception of 2009, less than 1 600 Cape Parrots were recorded in the wild. The census data showed a slight increase in Cape Parrots, although this may be largely explained by an increase in coverage of suitable habitat and stabilisation in the population since 2005. A current distribution map for the Cape Parrot, based on census data, is presented. The distribution remains largely unchanged from that presented in the 1970s. This study highlights the value of public participation in monitoring an Endangered species and the need to conserve the forests where these parrots occur, due to their nomadic feeding behaviour.     

Homogeneity test of rate ratios in stratified matched-pair studies

This paper investigates homogeneity test of rate ratios in stratified matched-pair studies on the basis of asymptotic and bootstrap-resampling methods. Based on the efficient score approach, we develop a simple and computationally tractable score test statistic. Several other homogeneity test statistics are also proposed on the basis of the weighted least-squares estimate and logarithmic transformation. Sample size formulae are derived to guarantee a pre-specified power for the proposed tests at the pre-given significance level. Empirical results confirm that (i) the modified score statistic based on the bootstrap-resampling method performs better in the sense that its empirical type I error rate is much closer to the pre-specified nominal level than those of other tests and its power is greater than those of other tests, and is hence recommended, whilst the statistics based on the weighted least-squares estimate and logarithmic transformation are slightly conservative under some of the considered settings; (ii) the derived sample size formulae are rather accurate in the sense that their empirical powers obtained from the estimated sample sizes are very close to the pre-specified nominal powers. A real example is used to illustrate the proposed methodologies.     

基于FMT-AHP的海南农垦花岗岩类多雨区橡胶园地力评价

海南农垦是中国最大的天然橡胶生产基地,自第二次全国土壤普查以来橡胶园养分状况已发生了很大变化,但具体情况如何尚不清楚。运用耕地地力评价方法对海南农垦主要橡胶园的地力进行了系统评价,以期为橡胶园地力提升和天然橡胶的可持续发展提供理论支持。以土壤母质类型和降雨量为依据,首次将海南农垦橡胶园划分为8个类型区,并选取占海南农垦橡胶园总面积56.97%的花岗岩类多雨区作为评价区域,采集7204个0—20 cm层的土壤样品,运用特尔菲法、模糊数学理论和层次分析法确定11个评价指标及其权重,将评价区橡胶园地力划分为5等。研究结果发现:评价区以中间地力水平的二等、三等、四等橡胶园为主,占评价区橡胶园总面积的85.85%,它们广泛分布于琼中、屯昌、澄迈、儋州、万宁、保亭、乐东、三亚、陵水、定安、琼海、五指山、昌江、文昌和东方15个县市;一等地面积很小且分散,五等地相对集中面积也很小。相关分析表明土壤pH、有机质、有效磷和速效钾含量是影响评价区橡胶园地力水平的重要因素。评价区橡胶园土壤pH适宜橡胶树正常生长,但该区域土壤有机质和有效磷含量不能满足橡胶树正常生长的需要,而该区域一、二等地土壤速效钾含量能满足橡胶树正常生长,其三、四等地土壤速效钾含量仅达到橡胶树正常生长所需水平,随着地力下降到五等其土壤速效钾含量已不适宜橡胶树正常生长。根据上述研究结果,笔者建议橡胶园应大力间作绿肥,在增施有机质的基础上补氮、补钾、施用钙镁磷肥,同时加强养分管理,提高肥料利用率。     

滩地植被景观斑块分布特征与生态潜力评价

斑块大小是研究景观要素特征的一个主要参数。物种动态、潜在生境、潜在林产品(木材)、能量、养分和水流以及很多其它参数都受到景观中斑块大小的影响。将研究区域--富阳市富阳镇段滩地划分为6大类81个基本类型,并将其归为低水平斑块(基本类型对应斑块)和高水平斑块(大类对应斑块),采用极大似然估计法进行了研究,Kotliar和Wiens提出的斑块结构的等级框架是对斑块意义的更完整的理解,研究过程中对斑块的确定符合Kotliar和Wiens的等级思想。充分考虑了两个水平上的斑块,及它们对应于斑块类型的两个水平,研究表明:低水平的斑块内部具有较高的同质性,而高水平的斑块内部具有较低的同质性;在两种斑块水平上都显示出斑块大小分布是明显右偏的;只有少数类型斑块大小的分布服从负指数分布,而绝大多数斑块大小的分布服从对数正态分布,这对斑块内的群落和生态系统的稳定性和保护提供了参考。